Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046421 0.050498 0.054628 0.059117 0.063852 0.068691 0.074003
2025-06-29 0.040009 0.045890 0.052055 0.058974 0.066496 0.074403 0.083317
2025-07-06 0.036342 0.043647 0.051532 0.060617 0.070742 0.081623 0.094147
2025-07-13 0.032026 0.040219 0.049312 0.060054 0.072294 0.085713 0.101440
2025-07-20 0.028887 0.037798 0.047943 0.060193 0.074428 0.090300 0.109185
2025-07-27 0.026686 0.036246 0.047383 0.061093 0.077294 0.095621 0.117707
2025-08-03 0.025099 0.035274 0.047374 0.062525 0.080696 0.101507 0.126861
2025-08-10 0.021962 0.032154 0.044573 0.060438 0.079787 0.102261 0.129973
2025-08-17 0.019938 0.030285 0.043170 0.059919 0.080642 0.105000 0.135343
2025-08-24 0.018117 0.028544 0.041810 0.059345 0.081342 0.107488 0.140368
2025-08-31 0.017451 0.028285 0.042297 0.061055 0.084828 0.113319 0.149398
2025-09-07 0.016618 0.027735 0.042357 0.062182 0.087567 0.118240 0.157347
2025-09-14 0.015613 0.026912 0.042048 0.062854 0.089788 0.122614 0.164767
2025-09-21 0.014475 0.025826 0.041329 0.062949 0.091253 0.126053 0.171067
2025-09-28 0.014044 0.025738 0.041946 0.064797 0.094965 0.132302 0.180856
2025-10-05 0.012852 0.024438 0.040827 0.064273 0.095577 0.134657 0.185836
2025-10-12 0.011984 0.023569 0.040261 0.064454 0.097076 0.138112 0.192181
2025-10-19 0.011423 0.023137 0.040284 0.065414 0.099584 0.142841 0.200127
2025-10-26 0.011063 0.022997 0.040711 0.066924 0.102823 0.148516 0.209289
2025-11-02 0.009702 0.021141 0.038546 0.064742 0.101071 0.147745 0.210288
2025-11-09 0.008886 0.020127 0.037577 0.064199 0.101485 0.149739 0.214773
2025-11-16 0.008120 0.019138 0.036599 0.063599 0.101786 0.151564 0.219029
2025-11-23 0.007974 0.019229 0.037274 0.065392 0.105377 0.157707 0.228852